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Better decisions.
Less guesswork.

I help finance and operations teams turn document queues, forecasts, and fragmented reports into workflows they can check and use.

The working room / I–VII

Seven objects. Seven ways into the work.

Choose an object to look closer, or browse the work below.

Opening the room…

01 / Work

Seven problems. Different ways through.

02 / Work

Seven expensive problems.

Four services, two research projects, and one synthetic demonstration. Open any volume to examine its scope, evidence, and limitations.

03 / Evidence record

Evidence, with its limits.

A result is useful when you can inspect how it was produced—and what it does not prove.

Research evidence2026-01-29

Evaluation set

29 claims

Method
Environmental claims extracted from corporate communications and rated for greenwashing risk by human reviewers, forming the reference set the detector is scored against. Human expert ratings collected via a structured questionnaire, then used as ground truth.
As of
2026-01-29
Limitations
Twenty-nine items is a small evaluation set. Every figure derived from it carries wide uncertainty and none of it should be read as a population estimate.
Research evidence2026-01-29

Recall / precision (v3)

0.40 recall at 1.00 precision

Method
Binary flag / no-flag performance of the v3 rule-based detector against the human reference labels. Thresholded score compared with binarised human labels on the same 29-claim set.
Compared with
v1 baseline: recall 0.15 at precision 1.00 (F1 0.261). v3 reaches F1 0.571.
As of
2026-01-29
Limitations
Recall of 0.40 means roughly three in five flaggable claims are missed. Precision of 1.00 on a set this small is a handful of correct positives, not a guarantee. The tool is a reviewer aid; it cannot be a filter that runs unattended.
Read the full record

04 / Approach

From a question to a working system.

  1. 01

    Discovery

    We look at the actual decision and the actual data, and agree what a good outcome would be before anything is built. Often this is where a project gets smaller.

    A written problem statement, and an honest view of whether it is worth doing.

  2. 02

    Bounded pilot

    One workflow, one document type, one forecast. Small enough that finding out it does not work is a cheap answer rather than a sunk cost.

    A working prototype and an evaluation on your own data.

  3. 03

    Delivery

    The thing that survived the pilot gets built where the work actually happens, with the review step in place from the first day rather than added later.

    The deployed workflow, its documentation, and the checks that show when it drifts.

  4. 04

    Handover

    Your team runs it without me. That includes knowing how to re-evaluate it when the inputs change, because they will.

    Documentation, the evaluation harness, and a walkthrough with whoever owns it next.

Front Matter / Approach
Bumin Kağan Çetin

05 / About

Economics. Code. Real-world decisions.

A background spanning economics, risk and control, industrial data science, and applied research. Based in Milan, working across Italy and Türkiye.

About / CV

06 / Bumin Kağan Çetin

Discuss your project

Discuss your project